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Home GopalakrishnanArticlesHow Will India Inc. Be? |
How Will India Inc. Be?
From the year 2002 I have been predicting astrologically about India. Many of my astrological predictions have come true in 2002 and also in the subsequent years, 2003, 2004 and 2005. What will India Inc. be like in 2006? Stars have indicated a positive growth.
Stock markets
Economic growth is positive this year. The GDP will reach 8 per cent. Sensex will touch 11, 000 mark before the year-ends. The market will hover at 7000 mark throughout the year.
India and Pakistan:
There will be no war. Both the countries will continue diplomacy. There will be border tensions, infiltration of terrorists and mass death will occur due to attacks. On the positive side there will be increase in trade and bilateral issues. More road links will connect the two countries.
Stability and UPA government
2006 rings a positive note for the UPA government. Up till September the sailing will be smooth. Except some ministerial shake ups, there will be no serious problems. Post September Saturn moves into simha. There can be some problems around September 2006 and more towards the year-end.
The opposition BJP will be taken over by a younger face but the transition will not be very smooth and they will be more disarray than unity.
Rains and India
India will be blessed with bountiful rains this year. Some regions may experience extreme climates. This year will be the best for crops. Agriculture output will be positive. Southern region will have good monsoon.
Rupee Value
Rupee will keep fluctuate in 43-45 range.
Gold prices
Gold price will fall initially and then will soar again.
Prices of essential commodities
There will be marginal inflation. Food Products price might increase slightly. Interest rates will go up in India in a minimal way. FED will hike the interest rates.
Foreign reserves
Foreign reserves in India will increase. The government will ease up the restrictions in a positive manner for foreign currency regulations.
Sectors
Automobile
Two Wheelers: Leading players will do well. Two wheel manufacturers will benefit largely this year. Major companies will register high growth.
Auto ancillaries: will continue to do very well. Shares and quarterly profit will touch all time high in these sectors. Tyre producers will have only very marginal growth and it can even dip further.
Cars: Car market will see a boom this year. High-end cars will show slow growth. Major players in this area will do well. New players in the market will also profit. The high-end segment car producers will register ordinary growth.
Pharmacy: As far as pharmacy is concerned, profits will be good this year. Most of them will have positive story. Some companies which has had major set backs will slowly bounce back. Indian companies will continue to export in a major way.
Banks: Computerization will move at a rapid rate in banking sector. New models of revenues and products will work out. Many banks will aggressively position themselves on an end to end solution.
PSU: The old story of blocking moves of the government, which wants to sell the stake to the market, will continue this year. Some flexibility will be there for some companies. As such no major changes.
Oil: Oil markets will bleed. There will be increase in prices with the government taking tighter stand. It can even touch 70 dollars per barrel and then it will come down. If you have long terms perspective, then this sector is fine. If it is yearly then do not enter the segment.
Infrastructure
Cement, Steel etc. will do well. Heavy and infrastructure engineering will continue to see a boom. Of course steel will be sluggish on and off. Over all more than average growth.
Retail
One can get to see the sub towns having malls and all the big towns having hyper marts. New formats and design in retail will emerge across the metropolis. If you are not interested in IT as a career then this sector can bring huge story of boom and success. Many small retailers will try to expand in a big way.
Tourism
All tourist destinations will see increase in business. Revenue wise hotels will do extremely well. More chains of hotels will come. We can expect more Foreign travelers to visit exotic and theme locations.
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